Summary
J. Ann Selzer, a respected pollster known for her accuracy, has defended her polling methodology following criticism from former President Donald Trump. After her recent poll showed Vice President Kamala Harris leading Trump by three points in Iowa—a state he previously won—Trump dismissed the results as “fake” and claimed they were skewed against him.
Selzer responded to Trump’s assertions by emphasizing that her polling methods have remained consistent and reliable over the years. She pointed out that her firm, Selzer & Co., has accurately predicted outcomes in previous elections, including Trump’s victories in Iowa in 2016 and 2020. Selzer stated that the poll’s methodology was transparent and aligned with the standards used in past surveys, which have earned her a reputation for reliability in political forecasting. Despite Trump’s pushback, many analysts consider Selzer’s polls to be among the most credible, as they often reflect significant trends in voter sentiment, particularly regarding issues like abortion that have recently mobilized Democratic voters.
Harris vs Trump Chances a 'Pure Toss-Up' After Latest Polls: Nate Silver
Nov. 4 / Newsweek / Nate Silver's commentary positions the race as a toss-up, providing a balanced view of polling data. The article is informative but may not delve deeply enough into the implications of the findings. “ Top election forecaster Nate Silver has said the 2024 election is a "pure toss-up" following a weekend of polling data that saw good news for both Vice...
Harris tells voters they will determine outcome of US election, warns on Trump 'tactic' – video
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Campaign reaches its final weekend with America still divided over Trump
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Harris takes 3-point lead over Trump in Iowa poll before election
Nov. 4 / Nbc News / NBC’s report emphasizes the implications of Harris's lead in Iowa, framing it as a potential turning point in the election. It offers valuable insights into voter demographics but could benefit from more polling context. “ NBC’s Steve Kornacki joins TODAY to break down the final national NBC poll that shows a dead heat between Harris and Trump, the latest Iowa poll showing a...
Harris takes slim lead over Trump in final Iowa Poll before 2024 election
Nov. 3 / Yahoo! News / Provides an overview of Harris's slim lead in Iowa, capturing essential polling data and the potential implications for the election. However, it could enhance its analysis by exploring voter motivations more thoroughly. “
Famed Pollster Defends Shock Iowa Poll Showing Harris Trouncing Trump
Nov. 3 / The Daily Beast / Focuses on Selzer's defense of her Iowa poll, emphasizing its credibility and the influence of abortion issues on voter turnout. The insights into polling methodology add depth to the ongoing electoral discussion. “ The Iowa pollster who surprised pundits and politicians alike over the weekend with a poll showing Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump in the state said the...
Final polling before election, including in Iowa of all places, paints uncertain picture
Nov. 3 / L.a. Times / Covers the surprising Iowa poll results, illustrating the potential implications for Harris's campaign. The insights into voter demographics are valuable, yet it could engage more with the historical context of Iowa voting patterns. “ The final round of polling ahead of Tuesday’s presidential election continued to show an incredibly close race across seven battleground states — but also...
At stake on Election Day: The reality of the presidency
Nov. 3 / Cbs News / Focuses on Selzer's defense of her methodology in response to Trump's criticism, adding credibility to the polling discussion. The article succinctly conveys the stakes but could delve deeper into voter reactions. “ At stake on Election Day: The reality of the presidency Each president faces tremendous challenges upon taking the oath of office. CBS News' John Dickerson...
Republican Poll Shows Iowa Shifting Away from Donald Trump
Nov. 4 / Newsweek / Reports on Iowa's shifting political landscape, highlighting the credibility of the Selzer poll. The focus on contrasting polling perspectives is insightful, but it could expand on voter motivations behind these trends. “ A new election poll by a right-leaning company shows that Iowa seems to be shifting away from Donald Trump , although not enough for him to lose him the...
Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Virtually Tied In Battleground States, Polls Say: Latest Updates
Nov. 4 / Huffpost / Provides a comprehensive overview of both candidates' final campaign efforts, capturing the intensity of the closing days. However, it lacks deeper analysis on how voter sentiments might influence outcomes. “ Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are running out of time to convince voters they’re the best candidate to vote for in the 2024...
Harris grabs unexpected last-minute lead over Trump in Iowa poll
Nov. 3 / The Guardian / Analyzes the shocking Iowa poll that shifted expectations, emphasizing its potential impact on the election. The article succinctly conveys the significance of the findings while maintaining a neutral tone. “ In shocking result that could reshape the race, ex-president falls three points behind in a state he won in 2016 and 2020
High U.S. early voter turnout gives both sides hope
Oct. 31 / Raw Story / Highlights the record early voter turnout, providing a comprehensive overview of its implications for both campaigns. The analysis of gender dynamics in voting adds depth, though projections remain ambiguous. “ More than 57 million US voters have already cast their ballots in the 2024 election , breaking records in some states and leading both sides to hope it gives...
Stunning poll has Dems hoping to turn Iowa blue
Nov. 4 / Nbc News / Highlights Harris's lead in Iowa and its potential to influence the election outcome. The article effectively conveys the significance of this polling moment, though it could delve deeper into voter sentiment shifts. “ With just two days to go until Election Day, a brand-new Des Moines Register poll has Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump...
Why Outlier Poll Showing Harris Winning Iowa Could Spell Trouble For Trump
Nov. 3 / Forbes / Analyzes the implications of the Iowa poll, framing it as a warning for Trump despite being labeled an outlier. The focus on Selzer’s reputation adds credibility, though it could explore broader trends in polling. “ Topline Former President Donald Trump has lost his lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in solidly red Iowa, according to a new Des Moines...
'Holy mother of god': Election guru points to trouble for Trump buried in Iowa poll
Nov. 3 / Raw Story / Covers Jim Messina's reaction to the Iowa poll, emphasizing enthusiasm and momentum for Harris. The insights into voter demographics are valuable, yet it could expand on the implications for Trump's strategy. “ Appearing on MSNBC on Sunday, former Barack Obama campaign manager Jim Messina admitted he was as shocked as anyone that Vice President Kamala Harris has...