Concerns about voter fraud in the 2024 election and the divide between Trump and Harris supporters

The divide in perceptions of voter fraud is stark, with nearly 90% of likely Trump voters concerned about fraudulent activities, while only 29% of Harris supporters share similar worries. This heightened concern appears to stem largely from Trump’s persistent claims regarding election integrity, despite the absence of evidence for widespread fraud in past elections. As local election officials work to educate voters about the safeguards in place to prevent fraud, they face challenges in overcoming the narrative promoted by political figures. The NPR/PBS News/Marist poll indicates that while many Americans are apprehensive about voter fraud, a majority still express confidence in their local election processes. This situation highlights the complex interplay between political messaging, public perception, and the realities of election administration.

Key Findings from Recent Polls

• General Concerns: Almost 60% of Americans are concerned about voter fraud in the 2024 election, with concerns significantly higher among Trump supporters.
• Specific Anxieties: A notable 52% of respondents worry about non-U.S. citizens voting, despite legal prohibitions and minimal evidence to support such claims.
• Local Trust: Around 80% of voters feel confident that their state or local governments will conduct fair and accurate elections, indicating a disparity in trust between local and national elections.

Partisan Voting Methods

The methods by which voters plan to cast their ballots also reflect partisan divides. Approximately half of registered voters intend to vote early, while the other half plan to vote on Election Day. Notably, a higher percentage of Harris supporters are inclined to vote by mail compared to those backing Trump, who are more likely to favor in-person voting on Election Day.

Election Outlook

The presidential race remains competitive, with Harris holding a slight lead over Trump among likely voters. This dynamic, coupled with the significant gender gap in support, illustrates the polarized landscape of the upcoming election and the potential implications of ongoing concerns about voter fraud.