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US military presence transition in Iraq

Summary

The transition of the U.S. military presence in Iraq marks a significant shift in the ongoing efforts against the Islamic State (ISIL). The U.S. and Iraqi governments have announced a phased plan to end the anti-ISIS coalition’s military operations in Iraq by September 2025, while maintaining a continued partnership to support Iraqi forces and counter any potential resurgence of ISIS.

This transition, described by U.S. officials as more of a “transition” than a “withdrawal,” involves a two-phase approach. The first phase will see the gradual reduction of coalition forces in specific locations, while the second phase will focus on establishing a bilateral security relationship between the U.S. and Iraq, allowing for ongoing support in the region, particularly concerning operations in Syria. Despite the planned reductions, U.S. officials have emphasized that the military presence will not be completely eliminated; instead, it will evolve to adapt to the current security environment and the capabilities of Iraqi forces. The agreement reflects long-standing tensions regarding the U.S. military presence in Iraq, particularly as Iranian-backed groups have frequently opposed it, leading to increased attacks on U.S. bases in the region.

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