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India rules out joining RCEP due to concerns over China's trade practices

Summary

India has firmly decided against joining the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), the world’s largest trade agreement, primarily due to concerns over China’s trade practices. Indian Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal emphasized that the deal does not align with India’s interests, particularly regarding a free trade agreement with China, which he described as having “very opaque” economic practices.

The RCEP, which includes 15 Asia-Pacific countries and accounts for about 30% of global GDP, was initially seen as an opportunity for India to enhance its trade relations. However, India withdrew from the negotiations in 2019, citing unresolved “core interest” issues, particularly in relation to agriculture and small industries. Goyal reiterated that India’s farmers and small industries would not benefit from the agreement, which he views as disproportionately favoring China. He also expressed concerns about China’s use of low-priced goods to flood markets, which often do not meet quality standards, further complicating India’s competitive landscape.

Concerns Over China’s Trade Practices

Goyal’s remarks highlight the challenges India faces in competing against a country with a fundamentally different economic and political system. He pointed out that China’s non-transparent economic practices create significant barriers for Indian businesses, making a free trade agreement unfavorable. The minister’s comments reflect a broader apprehension in India regarding reliance on Chinese goods and the potential risks associated with such economic dependencies.

India’s Strategic Shift

In light of these challenges, India is focusing on developing its semiconductor industry to attract foreign investment and reduce reliance on single-country supply chains. Goyal envisions India as a potential alternative for semiconductor manufacturing, positioning the country as a “Taiwan plus one” in the global supply chain. This strategy aims to enhance India’s manufacturing capabilities while mitigating risks associated with over-dependence on China.

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