Myanmar's opposition rejects military's peace talks offer

The military’s offer, described in state-run media, invites opposition groups to resolve political issues through electoral processes rather than armed conflict. However, leaders from the National Unity Government (NUG) and ethnic armed organizations, such as the Karen National Union (KNU), have expressed skepticism, citing the military’s long history of broken promises and its classification of many opposition groups as “terrorists.” The NUG’s previously established political roadmap, which emphasizes the need for a transition to civilian rule and the establishment of a federal democratic union, reflects the opposition’s commitment to a negotiated settlement only under conditions favorable to their cause. The rejection of the military’s offer underscores the deep divisions and ongoing violence in Myanmar, complicating any potential for a peaceful resolution to the civil conflict.

Context of the Conflict

Since the military coup in February 2021, Myanmar has been embroiled in a civil war, with various ethnic armed groups and newly formed resistance forces fighting against the junta. The military’s recent call for peace talks comes amid significant losses on the battlefield and a deteriorating humanitarian situation, leading to heightened tensions and skepticism about its intentions.

Opposition’s Stance

Opposition leaders have articulated that the military’s invitation is not a genuine offer for dialogue but rather a tactic to undermine the unified resistance against military rule. They argue that any meaningful negotiations must first acknowledge the need to end military involvement in politics and establish a framework for democratic governance. The NUG and its allies have reiterated their commitment to the “Spring Revolution,” aiming to restore democracy and build a federal system that respects the rights of all ethnic groups within Myanmar.

Implications for Peace

The military’s proposal is viewed by many as an effort to legitimize its authority ahead of a national census and anticipated elections, which critics argue cannot be conducted fairly amid ongoing conflict. As military operations continue, including airstrikes against opposition-held territories, the prospect for a peaceful resolution remains uncertain, with external pressures from regional powers like China further complicating the situation.