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Putin's Sarmat Missile Test Failures Result in Extensive Damage at Plesetsk

Summary

Recent reports indicate that Russia’s testing of the RS-28 Sarmat intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) has encountered significant failures, resulting in extensive damage at the Plesetsk Cosmodrome. Satellite imagery reveals a large crater approximately 200 feet wide at the launch site, suggesting a catastrophic incident during the missile’s test.

The Sarmat missile, also known as Satan II, is a key component of Russia’s nuclear deterrent strategy and is designed to carry multiple warheads over long distances. However, this recent failure marks the fourth unsuccessful test of the Sarmat, raising concerns about the missile’s development amid ongoing pressures from international sanctions and the demands of the war in Ukraine. Analysts suggest that the explosion may have occurred either during the missile’s ignition or potentially during the fueling process, further complicating Russia’s efforts to modernize its nuclear capabilities. The repeated setbacks in testing highlight the challenges faced by the Russian defense industry and may delay the deployment of the Sarmat, which was initially expected to be operational by 2018.

Damage Assessment

  • Extent of Damage: Satellite images from Maxar Technologies show extensive damage not previously visible, indicating a serious incident at the launch site.
  • Crater Size: The crater at the Plesetsk site is approximately 60 meters (200 feet) wide, suggesting a large explosion.

Implications for Russian Military Strategy

  • Testing Failures: The Sarmat’s development has been plagued by delays, with only one successful test reported since its inception.
  • Impact on Nuclear Arsenal: The failures could affect the readiness of older missile systems that the Sarmat is intended to replace, potentially prolonging their service life.

Broader Context

The Sarmat missile is seen as a critical element of Russia’s strategic nuclear forces, capable of reaching targets across the globe. The ongoing failures in its testing could undermine Russia’s confidence in its nuclear capabilities at a time when tensions with the West are high due to the conflict in Ukraine.

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