Summary
Market expectations regarding a potential return of former President Donald Trump are influencing Treasury yields, as concerns about the national debt grow in light of proposed tax cuts. Analysts suggest that Trump’s economic plans could significantly increase the national debt, which is already over $35 trillion, further impacting fiscal sustainability and economic growth.
Recent analyses, such as those from the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, indicate that Trump’s proposals could add approximately $7.5 trillion to the national debt over the next decade, compared to $3.5 trillion from Vice President Kamala Harris’s plans. This disparity has led to a “Trump Premium” in Treasury yields, reflecting market fears that his return to office would exacerbate fiscal challenges. As Treasury yields rise, they signal investor concerns about the sustainability of U.S. fiscal policy, particularly in an environment where both candidates are proposing significant increases in federal spending without clear plans for offsetting these costs. The disconnect between Treasury yields and oil prices has been noted, suggesting that market dynamics are increasingly influenced by the political landscape and the anticipated economic policies of the candidates.
Why Oil Prices and Treasury Yields Have Started To Disconnect
Nov. 4 / Oil Price / Explores the disconnect between oil prices and Treasury yields, linking market reactions to political expectations. It provides a unique perspective on how fiscal sustainability concerns shape investor sentiment. “ The historically close positive correlation between oil prices and 10-year Treasury yields has broken following the first interest rate cut from the Fed in...
Letter to the editor: How can anyone with a conscience vote for Trump?
Oct. 23 / Home | Triblive.com / Calls attention to the moral implications of voting for Trump, emphasizing his controversial statements and actions. The passionate tone resonates with readers concerned about integrity in leadership. “ I wonder if the writer of the letter “Harris telling lies” (Oct. 14, TribLive) does not watch the news. President Trump said he wants to be a dictator on Day...
Most battleground voters fret about national debt: ‘Critical campaign issue’
Oct. 9 / New York Post / Highlights voter apprehension regarding national debt in swing states. The poll results underscore the urgency for candidates to address fiscal responsibility, making it a critical read for understanding voter priorities. “ America’s debt burden is north of $35 trillion, and both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump propose adding trillions of dollars more to it. And that’s not what...
Oct. 7 / Usa Today / Presents a non-partisan analysis of economic proposals, highlighting the stark differences in projected national debt increases under Trump and Harris. It effectively grounds its arguments in credible data and expert insights. “ WASHINGTON – Both former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are expected to embrace trillions of dollars in new federal spending if...
Harris’ proposals would increase the national debt, but Trump’s would add even more, study finds
Oct. 7 / Cnn / Analyzes the economic platforms of both candidates, revealing the significant debt implications of their proposals. The detailed breakdown of costs and potential impacts offers a comprehensive view of fiscal challenges. “ Both Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are rolling out ever-growing lists of promises to voters — from making housing and health...
Trump’s Plans Could Increase U.S. Debt While Raising Costs for Most Americans - The New York Times
Oct. 7 / Google News / Summarizes the findings of various reports on Trump's and Harris's fiscal policies. It effectively consolidates information, making it easier for readers to grasp the broader implications of each candidate's plans. “ Trump’s Plans Could Increase U.S. Debt While Raising Costs for Most Americans The New York TimesTrump and Harris’ proposals would both increase the national...
Column: A conservative think tank says Trump policies would crater the economy — but it's being kind
Oct. 8 / L.a. Times / Critiques the focus on deficit reduction in economic policy, arguing for a broader perspective on the candidates' proposals. The insightful commentary challenges conventional wisdom, encouraging deeper economic discussions. “ If you are wired into the flow of campaign news — as I am, for my sins — you will be inundated this week with reports of a new analysis of the fiscal impact...
RYAN & WOLF: We're moderate capitalists and our presidential pick is simple
Sep. 30 / Fox News / Cites multiple analyses to assert that Trump's proposals would significantly increase national debt. It succinctly conveys the potential financial burden on Americans, making it an informative piece for concerned voters. “ Vice President Kamala Harris takes aim at former President Trump as she tries to narrow the gap on the economy, Americans' top issue. The nation just heard...
Column: Harris' economic plan is a grab bag of targeted subsidies. Trump's is nonsense on stilts
Sep. 30 / L.a. Times / Contrasts Harris's targeted subsidies with Trump's vague promises, emphasizing the need for a coherent economic strategy. This critical examination reveals the importance of clear policy proposals in the election. “ The presidential campaign produced plenty of noise last week, but the race still appears mired in a virtual electoral-college tie. Polls show Vice President...