Harris gains slight edge over Trump amid improving economic perceptions

Recent surveys show Harris leading Trump by 4 points nationally and maintaining a slight advantage in key battleground states. This shift is particularly notable among voters who view the economy positively; Harris attracts significant support from those who believe their personal finances are improving. However, she still faces challenges, as many voters remain skeptical about the economy’s overall condition, with Trump continuing to hold strong support among those who prioritize economic concerns. The dynamics of voter sentiment are further complicated by sharp divisions regarding immigration and perceptions of political violence, which underscore the contentious nature of the current electoral landscape.

Polling Insights

• National Polls: A CBS/YouGov poll indicates Harris leads Trump 52%-48% among likely voters, while an NBC News poll shows her ahead by 5 points at 49%-44%.
• Voter Demographics: Harris garners strong support from younger voters, college graduates, and Black voters, while Trump maintains a robust base among white voters and men.
• Economic Perceptions: The proportion of voters believing the economy is improving has risen, with 39% now viewing it positively, compared to 35% in August. This shift has helped Harris, although Trump still benefits from concerns about inflation and the cost of living.

Voter Priorities

The polls reveal that voters who prioritize personal qualities favor Harris, while those focused on policies are more evenly divided. Trump’s supporters often express approval of his controversial statements, indicating a complex relationship between personal sentiment and policy preferences. Despite Harris’s gains, the potential for undecided Republicans to shift back to Trump remains a critical factor as the election approaches.