Teamsters' Support for Trump in Battleground States

In a recent survey conducted by the Teamsters from July 24 to September 15, Trump outperformed Harris across seven critical battleground states that played a pivotal role in the 2020 election. The results revealed Trump’s support ranging from 57% to 69% in states like North Carolina and Michigan, while Harris’s support hovered between 29% and 40%. This shift in union sentiment is particularly notable given that the Teamsters did not endorse either candidate for the first time in over 25 years, highlighting a potential disconnect between union leadership and its members. Teamsters President Sean O’Brien stated that neither candidate made sufficient commitments to protect union interests, prompting the union’s neutral stance despite local endorsements for Harris from various Teamsters locals.

Key Findings from the Survey

• Arizona: Trump 57.3% - Harris 38.7%
• Georgia: Trump 56.3% - Harris 40.7%
• Michigan: Trump 61.7% - Harris 32.5%
• Nevada: Trump 59.9% - Harris 37.3%
• North Carolina: Trump 69.1% - Harris 29.2%
• Pennsylvania: Trump 65.3% - Harris 31.4%
• Wisconsin: Trump 57% - Harris 40.5%

Implications for the 2024 Presidential Race

The findings suggest that Trump’s appeal among union members may be a critical factor in the upcoming election, particularly in states where margins are expected to be razor-thin. The Teamsters’ lack of endorsement for Harris, despite claims of local support, may reflect broader concerns among union members regarding the Democratic Party’s alignment with working-class interests. The dynamics of this union support could influence campaign strategies as both candidates seek to secure votes in these essential states, especially as early voting begins in several battlegrounds.