Foreign adversaries' disinformation efforts regarding U.S. election integrity

The tactics employed by these foreign actors include disseminating misleading narratives about ballot tampering and election legitimacy, especially in the critical hours following the polls closing. This phase is seen as particularly vulnerable, as misinformation can quickly spread online before authorities have the chance to respond or clarify the facts. U.S. intelligence agencies have noted that these adversaries are becoming increasingly adept at using American voices, both wittingly and unwittingly, to lend credibility to their disinformation campaigns. For instance, Russia is focusing on undermining specific candidates, while China’s efforts span multiple races, aiming to influence public perceptions through social media and other online platforms.

Key Threats and Tactics

• Disinformation Campaigns: Foreign adversaries are expected to amplify existing false claims about election processes and outcomes, particularly in swing states.
• Exploitation of Social Media: The rise of social media as a primary source of information allows for rapid dissemination of misleading content, making it easier for foreign entities to sow discord.
• Targeted Messaging: Intelligence officials have indicated that adversaries will tailor their messages to exploit specific political divisions within the U.S., focusing on contentious issues like election security and candidate legitimacy.

Historical Context

The disinformation tactics currently observed have roots in past election cycles, notably the 2016 election, where Russia’s interference was marked by hacking and the creation of fake social media accounts. The ongoing evolution of these tactics suggests a long-term strategy by foreign adversaries to undermine trust in U.S. democratic processes, not just during election seasons but as an ongoing effort to influence public opinion and political outcomes.